Trade Strategy 12.20.22

Markets

Economic Calendar

***New: PTG Average Daily Range Calculator

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): This session extended recent decline down to cycle range Violation Levels. As trading activity for 2022 is nearing conclusion, “risk-off” remains the core theme. Range was 72 handles on 1.284M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price is currently trading below CD1 Low (3855.25) with favorable odds to recover this level and securing a positive cycle statistic. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.  As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.  

Bull Scenario: Price sustains bid above 3830, initially targets 3855 – 3865 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains offer below 3830, initially targets 3805 – 3800 zone.

PVA High Edge = 3897       PVA Low Edge = 3845        Prior POC = 3859

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2022 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3891; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3766; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3900; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3882; 10 Day Average True Range  87; VIX: 22

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently trading below CD1 Low (11275.50) with favorable odds to recover this level and securing a positive cycle statistic. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.  As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.   

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 11180, THEN initial upside estimate targets 11225 – 11275 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 11180, THEN initial downside estimate targets 11075 – 11050 zone.

PVA High Edge = 11270       PVA Low Edge = 11153     Prior POC = 11218

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2023 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 11228; LOD ATR Range Projection: 10921; 3 Day Central Pivot: 11396; 3 Day Cycle Target: 11348; 10 Day Average True Range: 307; VIX: 22

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN6.22.22

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