Trade Strategy 12.28.18

Markets
 
It’s a roller coaster ride on Wall Street heading into the penultimate trading day of the year. U.S. stocks roared back to end in positive territory on Thursday after suffering steep losses for much of the session, and the same sentiment took place overnight, with futures now pointing to strong gains. “The market is right now in a psychological frenzy,” said David Katz, CIO at Matrix Asset Advisors. “There’s fear of the market going down; there’s fear of missing the rebound.”
 
In Asia, Japan -0.3%. Hong Kong +0.1%. China +0.4%. India +0.8%
In Europe, at midday, London +1.8%. Paris +1.7%. Frankfurt +1.8%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.8%. S&P +0.8%. Nasdaq +0.7%. Crude +2.2% to $45.58. Gold flat at $1281.10. Bitcoin -3.2% to $3622. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.76%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 
Economic Calendar

http://mam.econoday.com/

8:30 International trade in goods
8:30 Retail Inventories (Advance)
8:30 Wholesale Inventories (Advance)
9:45 Chicago PMI
10:00 Pending Home Sales
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link Click this link to view:
 

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2432.00. Average Range for CD1 is 59.00 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%

CD1 Range High = 2537.00       CD1 Range Low = 2460.00         CD1 Range Avg = 59.00 

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 2495, THEN upside potential targets 2512.75 – 2524.75 STATX Zone. 3-Day Rally Target Zone measures 2528.75 – 2537.00

Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 2495, THEN downside potential targets 2485 – 2475 zone. Daily Pivot is marked 2462.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2019 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2562.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2434.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2418.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2532.50; 10 Day Average True Range 85.00; VIX: 29.50

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 6118.00. Average Range for CD1 is 192.00 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%

CD1 Range High = 6463.25          CD1 Range Low = 6185.50          CD1 Range Avg = 192.00

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 6310, THEN upside potential targets 6371.25 – 6404.75 STATX Zone. 3-Day Rally Target Zone measures 6461.50 – 6463.50.

Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 6310, THEN downside potential targets 6270.25 – 6193.25 Pivot Zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2019 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 6519.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6130.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6112.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6461.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 248.00; VIX: 29.50

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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