Markets
In Asia, Japan +0.1%. Hong Kong -0.4%. China +0.1%. India -0.4%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.7%. Paris -0.5%. Frankfurt -0.4%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.3%. S&P -0.3%. Nasdaq -0.2%. Crude +0.9% to $56.48. Gold +0.8% to $1332.20. Bitcoin +4.6% to $3867.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.66%
Source: Seeking Alpha
8:50 Fed’s Mester: Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook
10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link
S&P 500
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2759.25. Average Range for CD1 is 23.75 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%
CD1 Range High = 2809.50 CD1 Range Low = 2737.50 CD1 Range Avg = 23.75
Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 2773, THEN initial upside targets 2780.25 – 2784.50 zone. Conversion of this zone to upper support expands targets to 2792 – 2794.50 CD1 Penetration High Range Zone.
Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 2773, THEN initial downside targets 2763.50 – 2759.50 3 Day Central Pivot Zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2019 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 2790.25; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2756.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2761.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2880.00; 10 Day Average True Range 23.50; VIX: 16.11
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 7028.50. Average Range for CD1 is 54.50 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%
CD1 Range High =7094.00 CD1 Range Low = 7032.00 CD1 Range Avg = 54.50
Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 7056, THEN initial upside targets 7072.25 – 7082.75 zone.
Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 7056, THEN initial downside targets 7049.25 – 7039.75 3 Day Central Pivot Zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2019 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 7112.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7013.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7044.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7107.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 73.00; VIX: 16.11
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN