Trade Strategy 2.4.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: True gap lower for this cycle day provided steadfast (read: stubborn) traders a fantastic BTFD opportunity. Rather than panicking on the tariff news, savvy traders took advantage of the weakness, scooping up perceived bargains. 

Trump Tariff Tape Bombs filled this session as BOTH Canada & Mexico bent their respective knees to Trump’s demand to secure their borders. This provided a “consolidative-bid” throughout the session, with a gap fill recovery of the Cycle Day 1 Lows, securing a Positive Three-Day Cycle, which has a 91% historical accuracy track-record. Range for this session was 113 handles on 2.021M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 2.3.25

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: The Average Decline Standard Deviation Extreme (5939) was fulfilled during the prior session’s true gap down. 

Price did secure a positive 3-day cycle statistic by reclaiming the 6056.50 handle.

Given the heightened volatility and wide range, today’s rhythm is anticipated to be MATD as the market is still on an emotional rollercoaster ride.

As such seeking accepted value balance between bull and bears will be the probative rhythms until a sustained directional pathway is created.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6055+-, initially targets 6085 – 6095 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6055+-, initially targets 6025 – 6005 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6049    PVA Low Edge = 5973         Prior POC = 6025

   ES (Profile)

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: True gap lower for this cycle day provided steadfast (read: stubborn) traders a fantastic BTFD opportunity. Rather than panicking on the tariff news, savvy traders took advantage of the weakness, scooping up perceived bargains. Range for this session was 636 handles on 720k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: The Average Decline Standard Deviation Extreme (20973) was fulfilled during the prior session’s true gap down. 

Price did secure a positive 3-day cycle statistic by  reclaiming 21419.50 handle.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 21580+-, initially targets 21660 – 21702 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 21580+-, initially targets 21435 – 21385 zone.

PVA High Edge = 21515     PVA Low Edge = 21205         Prior POC = 21425

NQ (Profile)

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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