Trade Strategy 3.25.26

S&P 500 (ES)


🔄 Cycle Day 2 ➜ Cycle Day 3 Transition

Cycle Day 2 delivered a classic MATD rhythmic session as price consolidated and worked off the GLOBEX spike higher. The market held beautifully within the range parameters outlined in the DTS Briefing 3.24.26, reinforcing the controlled nature of the auction.

For a detailed breakdown of how the session unfolded, refer to the Trading Room RECAP 3.24.26.


🔥 Cycle Day 3 Overlay — What Actually Matters

Cycle Day 3 is NOT about chasing.
It’s about acceptance vs. rejection under extreme liquidity conditions.

With Three-Day Cycle targets now fulfilled, today’s session becomes a Wild Card — where the market chooses between:

  • Follow-through upside continuation
  • Breakdown and rotational reset

Cycle Day 3 reveals intent.
Not prediction. Not opinion. Commitment.


🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control

Acceptance above 6640 ±5

If buyers defend value north of this pivot, upside continuation remains viable.

🎯 Initial Upside Objectives

  • 6655
  • 6665
  • 6675

Expectations:

  • Orderly trade
  • Controlled tempo
  • Clean inventory
  • Trend continuation

🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset

Acceptance below 6640 ±5

Failure to hold the pivot opens the door for rotation and balance repair.

🎯 Initial Downside Objectives

  • 6625
  • 6615
  • 6605

Expectations:

  • Increased two-sided trade
  • Inventory correction
  • Balance development

📊 Key Reference Levels

PVA High Edge: 6630
PVA Low Edge: 6600
Prior POC: 6606


🎯 Cycle Day 3 Summary

This is a decision day.

  • Above 6640 → Continuation
  • Below 6640 → Rotation

No guessing.
No forecasting.

Let price confirm… then execute.


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)


Transition from Cycle Day 2 → Cycle Day 3

🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus

Today is about structure — not noise.

No headlines.
No opinions.
No predictions.

We simply observe where price is accepted… and where it is rejected.

Markets move when participants commit capital.
Cycle Day 3 is the session that reveals whether buyers are prepared to defend control or whether the auction begins a rotation to rebalance inventory.

In auction terms, this is where the market answers the only question that matters:

Are higher prices accepted… or rejected?


🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control

Acceptance north of 24400 ±10

If buyers successfully defend this pivot and begin building value above it, the auction transitions from balance into initiative buying.

That signals the market is comfortable conducting business at higher prices, and the path of least resistance remains upward.

In this environment, buyers press the advantage while shorts begin to feel pressure.

Initial Upside Objectives

• 24595
• 24545
• 24480

Acceptance through these levels invites momentum participation and can trigger short covering, which fuels the next leg of the auction higher.

When that happens, the market is no longer rotating.

It is expanding the range.


🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset

Acceptance south of 24400 ±10

If the market loses the pivot and fails to reclaim it, the tone changes quickly.

Continuation gives way to rotation.

Instead of extending higher, the auction begins working lower to rebalance positioning and repair structure.

This creates a two-way trade environment where weak longs are forced to liquidate.

Initial Downside Objectives

• 24350
• 24305
• 24215

Acceptance below these levels opens the door for tests of deeper structural support, and late longs may begin re-evaluating their career choices.


📊 Key Reference Levels

PVA High Edge: 24310
PVA Low Edge: 24195
Prior POC: 24298

Think of these as auction magnets.

They do not forecast direction.

They simply represent areas where the market previously conducted the most business — and markets have a natural tendency to revisit and test those zones.

Price will often gravitate toward them, rotate around them, or use them as launch points for the next move.


⚔️ Bottom Line

Cycle Day 3 is not about prediction.

It is about observation and alignment.

We watch where the market accepts value.

Then we trade with the side willing to defend it.


🧠 Professional Mindset

Professional traders do not predict.

They observe:

• Acceptance vs Rejection
• Initiative vs Response
• Who is in control of the auction

Then they align with the side showing commitment and control.


⚔️ Stay disciplined.
📊 Stay structured.
🎯 Stay aligned with the auction.


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


NQ


Economic Calendar



Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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