Trade Strategy 3.31.17

Markets
  
In Asia, Japan -0.8%. Hong Kong -0.8%. China +0.4%. India -0.1%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.5%. Paris -0.3%. Frankfurt -0.1%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.2%. S&P -0.3%. Nasdaq -0.2%. Crude -0.7% to $50.01. Gold -0.3% to $1244.40.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.41%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 Personal Income and Outlays
9:45 Chicago PMI
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
10:00 Fed’s Kashkari speech
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
10:30 PM Fed’s Bullard: U.S. Monetary and Economic Policy

PTG Trading

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Average Decline (11.25) on CD1 measures 2355 which is also the 3 Day Central Pivot. This will be level for support test today and should this fail to hold, then lower levels targeting 2350 – 2345 may come into play. 

It’s Quarter End, so some window-dressing is expected, though we cannot rule out the “walk-away trade” during the afternoon session.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2375.75; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2346.75; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2333.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2355.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2359.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 19.00

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: June 2017 (M) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  Bulls must keep price firm above 2355 – 53 zone for support  and push above 2362 -65 to clear recent resistance. 

Scenario 2:  Bears need to convert 2353 – 50 to initial lower resistance in order to push for 2345 handle.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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