S&P 500 (ES)
****NEW**** PTG Trading Room Recordings
We are now recording the PTG Trading Room Morning Session. These will be “raw” unedited and possibly lengthy. While watching, adjusting the playback speed is recommended. You will be able to find the most recent five (5) session recordings here: Polaris Trading Group Videos
Note: Trading Room RECAP archives link: PTG-RECAP
🔥 Cycle Day 3 — “The Artemis Rally”
The Artemis Rally is now in motion.
As highlighted in the prior DTS Briefing, the probability increased significantly that Cycle Day 1 low at 6353.25 secured a meaningful swing low.
A strong CD1 close on the highs triggered the expected spillover bid, which consolidated… then expanded — cleanly fulfilling projected expansion targets.
But here’s where it gets interesting…
Following a failed-cycle in the previous rotation, markets often respond with overcompensation. The current cycle has done exactly that — not only reaching targets, but exceeding them materially.
At PTG, this is what we call a Super Cycle.
And now we enter the most important phase.
⚠️ Holiday-Shortened Week Dynamics
With Easter Weekend and Good Friday closure, liquidity conditions shift dramatically:
⚡ Thinner liquidity
⚡ Exaggerated price movement
⚡ Faster directional conviction
⚡ Less forgiveness for late positioning
This is where discipline separates professionals from participants.
Because Cycle Day 3 is NOT about chasing.
Never has been.
Especially not now.
🎯 Cycle Day 3 — The Real Focus
Cycle Day 3 is about Acceptance vs. Rejection
— under extreme liquidity conditions.
This is where the market reveals intent.
Do buyers step in and defend?
Or do sellers press their advantage into thin air?
That’s the tell.
📉 Acceptance Lower → Inventory rebalancing accelerates
📈 Rejection Lower → Short-covering becomes fuel
No guessing.
No predicting.
Just reading participation.
Because in a thinning liquidity environment…
Price doesn’t move because of opinions —
It moves because someone has to trade.
🎯 Cycle Day 3 Objective
Let the market reveal:
Who is committed… and who is trapped.
The Artemis Rally isn’t about speed…
It’s about who loses control first.
🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control
Acceptance above 6620 ±5
If buyers defend value north of this pivot, upside continuation remains viable.
🎯 Initial Upside Objectives
- 6635
- 6645
- 6655
Expectations:
- Orderly trade
- Controlled tempo
- Clean inventory
- Trend continuation
🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset
Acceptance below 6620 ±5
Failure to hold the pivot opens the door for rotation and balance repair.
🎯 Initial Downside Objectives
- 6595
- 6585
- 6575
Expectations:
- Increased two-sided trade
- Inventory correction
- Balance development
📊 Key Reference Levels
PVA High Edge: 6635
PVA Low Edge: 6608
Prior POC: 6620
⚠️ Tactical Takeaway
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
ES
Nasdaq (NQ)
🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus
Today is not about noise.
Today is about structure.
No headlines.
No opinions.
No predictions.
Just one thing:
Acceptance vs. Rejection.
Markets only move when participants commit capital.
Cycle Day 3 is where we find out who’s serious.
Today answers the only question that matters:
Are higher prices accepted… or rejected?
🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Defend Control
Acceptance above 24200 ±10 keeps buyers firmly in control and signals continuation higher.
If buyers maintain structure, expect rotation higher toward imbalance targets:
🎯 Initial Upside Objectives
• 24270
• 24316
• 24348
Acceptance above these levels opens the door for range expansion and higher value development.
Momentum builds only if buyers continue defending higher lows.
No defense = No trend.
🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset
Acceptance below 24200 ±10 shifts control back to sellers and signals inventory correction.
Failure to hold structure invites rotation lower into prior value:
🎯 Initial Downside Objectives
• 24120
• 24115
• 24085
If sellers gain traction, expect responsive buyers to step in and test conviction levels below.
📊 Key Reference Levels
These are structural magnets — not predictions.
• PVA High Edge: 24276
• PVA Low Edge: 24123
• Prior POC: 24202
These zones represent fair value negotiation areas — where the auction typically slows, rotates, and decides.
🔥 PTG Cycle Day 3 Summary
Cycle Day 3 is Decision Day.
Buyers must defend higher prices
Sellers aim to force rotation lower
No guessing.
No bias.
Just structure.
Trade the acceptance.
Respect the rejection.
Let the market lead. 📈
⚠️ Tactical Takeaway
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
NQ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN