Trade Strategy 6.4.21

Markets

U.S. stock futures inched between slight gains and losses overnight after the major averages trended down in Thursday’s session 

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

Today’s monthly jobs report will provide more clarity on the current economic landscape, with the prior two accounts telling very different stories. Payrolls were forecast to have risen by nearly 1M in April, only to come in at a mere 266K (the biggest downside miss in decades), after the employment number increased by 770K in March

8:30 Non-farm payrolls
10:00 Factory Orders
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1):  This day unfolded as a “normal” Cycle Day 1 as price declined to fulfill 4172 lower target. Range was 48 handles on 1.356M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price is currently trading quietly within prior say’s value zone (4203  – 4180) during overnight, as traders await today’ NFP Report. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 4200, initially targets 4210 – 4215 zone.

2.) Price sustains an offer below 4190, initially targets 4180 – 4175 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4203       PVA Low Edge = 4180         Prior POC = 4196

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2021 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4206; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4167; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4200; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4227; 10 Day Average True Range  29; VIX: 18

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price is currently trading within prior day’s value zone (13575 – 13510) during pre-RTH, as traders await today’s NFP Report. Prior range was 345 handles on 546k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

PVA High Edge = 13575       PVA Low Edge = 13510      Prior POC = 13547

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 13550, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13600 – 13635 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 13550, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13500 – 13460 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2021 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 13305; LOD ATR Range Projection: 13419; 3 Day Central Pivot: 13635; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13748; 10 Day Average True Range: 137; VIX: 18

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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