Trade Strategy 6.8.22

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

10:00 Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $33B, 10-Year Note Auction

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories

Source: http://Investing.com

S&P 500

***Written Tuesday evening for Wednesday’s trading for contribution to MrTopStep’s “The Opening Print” publication.

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Price did produce a decline during the RTH Session, finding support at our lower target 4076, at which time reversal rally unfolded, closing near highs of session. Prior range was 88 handles on 1.608M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Three-Fourths of this Cycle’s Rally is in-place as bulls have the momentum to fulfill the upside objective (4173). Pullbacks are anticipated to elicit a buy response with current momentum favoring longs. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4135, initially targets 4155 – 4165 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4135, initially targets 4120 – 4115 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4141       PVA Low Edge = 4089         Prior POC = 4135

*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:

Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet  > > Cycle Day 2 (CD2)

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2022 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4232; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4062; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4131; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4173; 10 Day Average True Range 97; VIX: 24

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price is currently holding bid above daily pivot (12612) during overnight trade. Normal for CD2 is for back n fill consolidation to absorb recent activity. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 12659, THEN initial upside estimate targets 12695 – 12703 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 12659, THEN initial downside estimate targets 12628 – 12612 zone.

PVA High Edge = 12732       PVA Low Edge = 12531     Prior POC = 12695

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2022 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 13035; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12312; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12642; 3 Day Cycle Target: 12843; 10 Day Average True Range: 410; VIX: 24

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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