Trade Strategy 7.13.18

Markets
 
A slew of Wall Street banks are reporting quarterly results before the bell today, unofficially kicking off the second-quarter earnings season. Markets could pick up steam if a positive print is recorded at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), First Republic Bank (NYSE:FRC) and PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC). Overall S&P 500 companies are expected to post second-quarter profit growth of around 21%, according to Thomson Reuters.
 
In Asia, Japan +1.9%. Hong Kong +0.2%. China -0.2%. India flat. 
In Europe, at midday, London +0.5%. Paris +0.4%. Frankfurt +0.2%
Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P flat. Nasdaq flat. Crude -0.5% to $70. Gold -0.4% to $1241.90. Bitcoin -0.1% to $6239. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.84%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 
Economic Calendar

8:30 Import/Export Prices
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price fulfilled 3 Day Cycle target zone between 2800.50 – 2603.50 in a strong CD1 uptrend breakout in prior session. Overnight trade has price retreating from highs finding renewed bid 2795 – 2797 zone.

Market Bias: Short-term Bullish

CD2 Range High = 2818.50          CD2 Range Low = 2784.50         CD2 Range Avg = 29.75

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above PC (2798.25), THEN upside targets 2803.50 – 2809.50 zone.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PC (2798.25), THEN downside measures 2795 – 2790 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2819.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2783.75; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2773.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2785.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2803.50; 10 Day Average True Range 23.50; VIX: 12.60

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price fulfilled 3 Day Cycle target  7392.75 in a strong CD1 uptrend breakout in prior session. Overnight trade has price retreating from highs finding renewed bid 7383.50 previous close.

Market Bias: Short-term Bullish

CD2 Range High = 7429.50         CD2 Range Low = 7362.75          CD2 Range Avg = 101.50

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above PC (7383.50), THEN upside target 7410 – 7429  zone.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PC (7383.50), THEN downside measures 7362.75 – 7355.50 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 7465.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7326.75; Cycle Day 1 Low: 7265.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7293.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7392.75; 10 Day Average True Range: 87.50; VIX: 12.60

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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