Trade Strategy 7.26.22

Markets

Economic Calendar

FOMC meeting begins
9:00 S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index
9:00 FHFA House Price Index
10:00 Consumer Confidence
10:00 New Home Sales
10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.
1:00 PM Results of $46B, 5-Year Note Auction
1:00 PM Money Supply
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 unfolded as price oscillated within 3-day range parameters producing an “inside-day”. Range was 42.75 handles on 1.456M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): As long as price trades above CD1 Low (3941.50), this will satisfy the Cycle Statistic. Market is essentially in a “holding pattern” ahead of the FED announcement tomorrow. Range parameters measure 3983 – 3935. Daily Pivot marked @ 3965. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains bid above 3965, initially targets 3980 – 3985 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains offer below 3965, initially targets 3945 – 3940 zone.

PVA High Edge = 3975       PVA Low Edge = 3960        Prior POC = 3968

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) Sept 2022 (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4031; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3883; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3971; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3980; 10 Day Average True Range  81; VIX: 24

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Normal CD2 unfolded in previous session with a downward skew. We will mark 12364 as key Line-in-Sand. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 12364, THEN initial upside estimate targets 12422 – 12462 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 12364, THEN initial downside estimate targets 12280 – 12275 zone.

PVA High Edge = 12411       PVA Low Edge = 12312     Prior POC = 12368

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) Sept 2022 (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 12608; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12001; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12462; 3 Day Cycle Target: 12465; 10 Day Average True Range: 333; VIX: 24

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN6.22.22


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