Wild Card Day: Dealers Choice, House Wins
Cycle Day 3 showed up late, kicked over the furniture, and dared anyone to trade without a plan.
🎰 Opening Scene
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ES knocking on 7000
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NQ peeking over 26000
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Everyone optimistic
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Market response: “That’s cute.”
6995 LIS stepped in front of the bus…
…bus did not stop.
🐻 Bear Case: Ruthless & Efficient
Hold south of 6995 ±5 and gravity did the rest:
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6985 → tap
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6980 → tap
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6975 → thank you, come again ✅
Open Range Strategy?
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ES ✅
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NQ ✅
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CL ✅
🎯 TRIFECTA — Dealers paid, players tipped.
CD3 violation 6940 tagged like it owed money.
Cycle Day 1 average decline projection?
6940.44 — nailed so hard it filed a police report.
When “they” pulled the drain plug…
let’s just say the plumbing failed inspection.
Buying that tape was not bravery — it was donation.
💣 Trade Management, Not Trade Fantasy
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A10 short engaged
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Runners trailed like adults
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Exit logic stayed boring (the good kind)
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Final scales: +18.75 handles
No hero capes.
No revenge trades.
Just receipts.
🌀 Midday: Chopocalypse Now
First bounce = mechanical sympathy, not a trend.
Key zones:
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6823–25 = “don’t break this or things get weird”
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6925–6940 = sandbox where P&L goes to die
Afternoon session?
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Absolute nothing-burger
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Trading after noon ET = optional side quest
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Stat reminder: <10% of days worth touching it
🧠 Closing Shenanigans
Recovered 6977.25 prior low — respectable.
Bulls’ checklist:
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“Please close back inside yesterday’s range”
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Market: “Fine… but I’m not happy about it.”
MOC:
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Buy imbalance $3.2B → $4.5B
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Not FOMO — inventory replacement
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BTFD crowd once again avoids consequences
📊 Cycle Math Still Doesn’t Care About Opinions
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Positive 3-Day Cycle
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92.13% stat still flexing
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CD3 already did tomorrow’s homework
🔮 What’s Next
Friday = Cycle Day 1
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Average decline projections?
✔️ Overachieved early -
Game plan:
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Early dip = shopping
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Late chop = Netflix
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🏁 Final Word
✔ Massive range
✔ Levels respected
✔ Emotional traders escorted out
Cycle Day 3 did exactly what Cycle Day 3 does:
confuse the impatient, reward the prepared, and ruin Twitter.
Reset the board.
Tomorrow we go again. 🔄
Oh… and AAPL after the bell 🍎
May your stops be tight and your expectations looser.