Trading Room RECAP 11.11.24

Overview: Today marked Cycle Day 2, characterized by the anticipated consolidation and two-way trading action. PTGDavid navigated these conditions with a lean toward early short setups, leveraging key market reference levels, including the Line in the Sand (LIS) and Initial Balance (IB), to align with intraday rhythms.

Morning Session:

  • Early Positioning: The session opened with a dynamic LIS at 6040, providing an initial anchor for trades. An early ES Opening Range (OR) Short was triggered, targeting 6025, with subsequent fills confirming sustained weakness. Comparative weakness in NQ influenced the ES, as PTGDavid noted, calling it “the canary dragging down @ES.”
  • Key Levels and Target Adjustments: As the session evolved, the LIS adjusted from 6040 to 6025, reflecting real-time conditions. This new level served as a pivotal point for subsequent trades and commentary, reinforcing its importance as a “Line in the Sand.”
  • Market Dynamics and “The Whiplash”: The concept of “Look Above and Fail” (termed “The Whiplash”) was triggered mid-morning, setting the stage for reversal plays, aligning with the cyclical expectation for a responsive, two-way market. The IB low also elicited a Buy Response, affirming support at that level and offering long probe setups on dips, consistent with Cycle Day 2 rhythms.

Midday Insights:

  • Range-Bound Challenges: The bond market closure contributed to lower volatility, tightening ranges, and producing what PTGDavid described as an “unproductive AM session.” A patient approach was recommended, with emphasis on avoiding over-trading in this environment and waiting for prime setups.
  • DTS Bear Scenario: Midday levels anchored around the 6025 LIS, with PTGDavid providing tactical insights. Under the Daily Trade Strategy (DTS) framework, a bear scenario below 6025 targeted the 6015–6010 zone, which subsequently filled, affirming the effectiveness of today’s trade plan.

Afternoon and Closing Activity:

  • End-of-Day Positioning: The market hovered near the 6025 LIS, with PTGDavid remarking on its clear significance as a key market level. The final MOC (Market on Close) activity reflected a modest sell imbalance, with a closing emphasis on maintaining established range edges consistent with Cycle Day 2 patterns.
  • Outlook for Cycle Day 3: Moving into tomorrow, PTGDavid highlighted a critical threshold at 5990. Should price sustain above this level, a positive three-day rally scenario could be triggered, potentially shifting sentiment toward a bullish outlook.

Conclusion: PTGDavid’s posts illustrated a disciplined adherence to market structure and cycle-based expectations. The day’s strategic levels (notably 6025) played a central role in guiding entries and exits, balancing short-leaning strategies with responsive buying opportunities at key supports. Despite reduced volatility, PTGDavid’s guidance enabled traders to navigate a challenging session with precision and patience.

Comments are closed.