Date: Monday, May 12, 2025
Analyst: PTGDavid
Session Type: Cycle Day 3 (Super Cycle)
Market Narrative: “Flexibility Required as Bulls Deliver a Textbook Super Cycle”
🗞️ Morning Kickoff: News-Driven Gap & Setup
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The trading day opened with a bullish gap to the 5769.50 “Money Box” level, driven by news of China trade deals.
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The early thesis: bulls must reclaim and build above the 5850 zone — a broken key support from prior sessions, now acting as resistance.
Key Commentary:
“Price has surpassed targets, thus another SUPER CYCLE courtesy of the ‘China Deal’.”
🔄 Intraday Themes: VWAP Play, Choppy Ranges, and Hypoxia
The session was marked by oscillation around VWAP, and traders were urged to remain adaptable and opportunistic:
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Early session leaned short into resistance zones.
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Overnight pivot at 5815 was highlighted repeatedly as a key support/reflection point.
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As price action became erratic, David noted “bullish hypoxia”—a clever metaphor suggesting price had reached unsustainable heights without enough support.
Notable Quotes:
“The air apparently got too thin and bullish hypoxia set in.”
“Flexibility is today’s theme.”
“Lots of Snaps and Traps.”
📊 Afternoon Transition: Bullish Lean Returns
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After a choppy mid-day, PTGDavid shifted long into the afternoon:
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Emphasized responsive entries on pullbacks, avoiding chasing.
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Described market as “Bulls grinding it out”, suggesting steady strength without explosive moves.
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During the Power Hour, the tone firmed with a $3B MOC (Market-On-Close) Buy Imbalance, signaling institutional demand.
Final Surge:
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The day closed on the highs, fulfilling PTG’s Cycle Day 3 target of 5874.55.
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Celebration: “Bulls win the KEWPIE… MAGA MONSTER!”
📌 Key Technical Highlights
| Time | Event | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 7:05 AM | Gap Up | Price gaps to 5769.50 on China news |
| 8:30 AM | 5860 Tagged | Price tests key prior pivot levels |
| 10:29 AM | 5815 Revisited | Critical pivot; failure = deeper decline |
| 3:50 PM | MOC Imbalance | $3B Buy imbalance fuels rally |
| 4:05 PM | Target Hit | Cycle Day 3 high of 5874.55 fulfilled |
🧠 Educational Takeaway: “Anticipate, Don’t Predict”
One of the strongest lessons from today’s session was the value of flexibility and probabilistic thinking:
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Cycle Day Awareness (Taylor Trading Method) gave PTGDavid a framework — he anticipated a larger move on Cycle Day 3, especially after bullish continuation on Day 2.
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But rather than predicting a linear move, he responded to intraday behavior, recognizing shifts at VWAP, pivots, and support/resistance zones.
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His “jellyfish” reference with the community underscored a key trader mindset: adapt to currents, rather than fight them.
📚 Takeaway: In volatile or news-driven markets, it’s critical to balance strategic bias (e.g. Cycle Day structure) with tactical flexibility (e.g. VWAP behavior, pivot action). The best trades evolve from anticipating multiple outcomes — not rigid forecasts.