Cycle Day 3: Wild Card Delivered (Again)
Cycle Day 3 lived up to its reputation — volatility with purpose, not chaos. The market gave both sides opportunity, but only one side respected structure.
🎯 The Line in the Sand (LIS)
6995 was the fulcrum — and price told the story multiple times.
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Early reaction from the upper D-Level delivered a sharp response
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CPI ramp fulfilled all upside objectives
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Once price slipped below 6995, the burden shifted squarely to the Bulls
Markets don’t argue. They respond.
🟢 Bull Case (Conditional)
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Hold north of 6995 ±5
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Targets: 7015 → 7020 → 7025
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LIS reclaim = long trigger confirmed
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3-Day Central Pivot aligned perfectly inside a 60-min FVG
→ textbook BTFD location
🔴 Bear Case (Executed)
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Failure to hold 6995 opened:
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6985 tagged
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6980 tagged (RED ALERT 🚨)
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6975 queued and threatened (LOD 6976.75)
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Lower inventory was repriced lower, setting up the classic afternoon squeeze attempts (most failed)
🧠 Trader Education Moment
“Long inventory repriced lower”
Inventory originally bought higher was replaced at better prices — resetting risk and improving odds for the next rotation.
⏰ Session Wisdom (Repeat Offender)
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~90% of quality trade opportunity occurred in the morning
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Afternoon participation?
→ Optional
→ Often punished
🧮 Closing Notes
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MOC Buy Imbalance: $2.8B
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Volatility respected levels
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Structure remained intact
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Official Positive 3-Day Cycle confirmed
🏁 Final Takeaway
No panic.
No drama.
Just levels doing what levels do — rewarding discipline and punishing impatience.
Have a good evening,
— PTG