PTG Morning Brief — May 19, 2025 Cycle Day 2 (CD2) | Moody’s Downgrade Edition | “Everything’s Fine” (Mostly)By: PTGDavid, Polaris Trading Group 🕔 Opening Notes & Narrative Setup The week kicked off with a slight hangover from Friday’s OPEX, … Continue reading
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S&P 500 (ES) Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Shallow pullback during overnight session established a new cycle low at 5923. RTH opening held firm a bid as buyers remained dominant throughout the session fulfilling multiple upside objectives. OPEX buying was … Continue reading
PTGDavid’s OPEX Odyssey – May 16, 2025 Recap “Capital Preservation in the Land of Wonky Rhythms” 7:30 AM – Welcome to the Fryday Circus 🎪 PTGDavid opened the day with his usual charm: “Good FRYday Morning” – a nod to … Continue reading
S&P 500 (ES) Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (5835.75) which has an 89.83% historical performance track history. Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic is defined as Price Above the … Continue reading
Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025Moderator: PTGDavidCycle Day: 3 (Positive 3-Day Cycle Active)Historical Performance Rate: 89.65% 📊 Morning Session Summary Opening Structure:Market opened in a neutral range, right at the Line in the Sand (LIS): 5895. This level was reinforced as … Continue reading
S&P 500 (ES) Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Normal CD2 unfolded with price producing a well-balanced Delta-Shaped Profile. Range was 35 points on 1.141M contracts exchanged. D-shaped profiles occur when there is a temporary balance in a market. The Point of Control … Continue reading
Market Context & Key Levels Line in the Sand (LIS): 5895PTGDavid opened the session by identifying 5895 as the critical structural pivot. Early morning price action showed buyers defending this level, which established it as the intraday anchor for directional … Continue reading
S&P 500 (ES) Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Shallow pullback during overnight session established a new cycle low at 5835.75. RTH opening held firm a bid as buyers remained dominant throughout the session fulfilling multiple upside objectives. Rhythms were smooth … Continue reading
Market Overview: Pre-CPI Positioning The session opened with a narrow overnight range inside the prior day’s session, signaling market indecision ahead of the 8:30 AM ET CPI release. This compression was typical of a Cycle Day 1 setup, with traders … Continue reading
S&P 500 (ES) Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day “SUPER CYCLE” as price rallied 239.75 pts (146.76%) courtesy of the US/China trade deal secured this past weekend in Switzerland. GLOBEX gap opening also held RTH Gap open with … Continue reading