Trade Strategy 11.7.22

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 as price declined, establishing a new cycle low at 3711 during a “range-runner” session. Prior range was 94 handles on 2.427M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price is trading higher during over night activity fulfilling Cycle/TargetMaster objectives near 3800 which matches with top end of prior session’s range. Normal for CD2 is for some consolidation to balance recent sessions. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 3800, initially targets 3817 – 3820 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 3800, initially targets 3785 – 3780 zone.

PVA High Edge = 3772       PVA Low Edge = 3721         Prior POC = 3727

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2022 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3814; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3728; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3770; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3817; 10 Day Average True Range  94; VIX: 25

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Cycle Day 1 Low was established at 10636 as price swung widely throughout this session. Normal for CD2 is for some consolidation of recent sessions. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 10960, THEN initial upside estimate targets 11010– 11024 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 10960, THEN initial downside estimate targets 10890 – 10875 zone.

PVA High Edge = 10908       PVA Low Edge = 10734     Prior POC = 10815

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2022 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 11058; LOD ATR Range Projection: 10665; 3 Day Central Pivot: 10914; 3 Day Cycle Target: 11023; 10 Day Average True Range: 383; VIX: 25

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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