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Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price rallied sharply up to CD3 Penetration Levels, securing a Positive Three-Day Cycle for the final cycle of 2022. Prior range was 76 handles on 1.088M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline for CD1 measures 3812.50. Normal for CD1 is a decline to find a new secure cycle low. Overnight and pre-RTH price is trading lower from previous close to key 3850 zone. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 3850, initially targets 3875 – 3880 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 3850, initially targets 3835 – 3830 zone.
PVA High Edge = 3881 PVA Low Edge = 3860 Prior POC = 3873
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2023 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 3929; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3790; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3850; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3935; 10 Day Average True Range 80; VIX: 22
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Average Decline for CD1 measures 10773. Normal for CD1 is a decline to find a new secure cycle low. Overnight and pre-RTH price is trading lower from previous close to key 10920 zone. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 10920, THEN initial upside estimate targets 11000– 11020 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 10920, THEN initial downside estimate targets 10880 – 10870 zone.
PVA High Edge = 11068 PVA Low Edge = 10958 Prior POC = 11041
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2023 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 11222; LOD ATR Range Projection: 10740; 3 Day Central Pivot: 10934; 3 Day Cycle Target: 11255; 10 Day Average True Range: 296; VIX: 22
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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