Trade Strategy 12.7.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar 

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2) Price fulfilled initial upside target zone (4590 – 4595) outlined in prior DTS Briefing 12.6.23. Bulls failed to sustain bid and as such reversal unfolded as sellers persistently kept selling throughout the day fulfilling lower end Line-in-Sand (LIS) 4555 handle. Prior range was 46 handles on 1.712M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Key Decision Point (DP) as price is testing the lower end (4555 – 4550) of the multi-day composite range. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4555, initially targets 4570 – 4575 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4555, initially targets 4530 – 4525 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4593       PVA Low Edge = 4569        Prior POC = 4588

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4587; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4522; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4572; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4626; 10 Day Average True Range  34; VIX: 13

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2) Price fulfilled initial upside target zone (15980 – 16000) outlined in prior DTS Briefing 12.6.23. Bulls failed to sustain bid and as such reversal unfolded as sellers persistently kept selling throughout the day closing near low of the day. Prior range was 235 handles on 662k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Three-Day Cycle Statistic will be satisfied should price trade above CD1 Low (15761) during RTH. We will mark today as a “wild-card” as price is at lower end of multi-day composite range, which is a key Decision Point. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 15800, initially targets 15875 – 15900 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 15800, initially targets 15700 – 15690 zone.

PVA High Edge = 15965      PVA Low Edge = 15860     Prior POC = 15875

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15998; LOD ATR Range Projection: 15627; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15875; 3 Day Cycle Target: 16041; 10 Day Average True Range: 197; VIX: 13

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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