Trade Strategy 3.23.21

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

8:30 Current Account
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 New Home Sales
10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.

10:10 Fed’s Bostic Speech
11:00 Fed’s Barkin Speech
12:00 PM Powell’s Testimony On Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act
1:00 PM Results of $46B, 2-Year Note Auction
1:00 PM Money Supply
1:25 PM Fed’s Brainard Speech
2:45 PM Fed’s Williams Speech
3:45 PM Fed’s Brainard Speech
4:20 PM Fed’s Bullard Speech

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Early price consolidation lead to uptrend rally fulfilling cycle objectives. Prior range was 59.50 handles on explosive 1.282M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price has relinquished three-fourths of the prior session’s gains as selling pressure has been dominant during overnight trade. Cycle objectives have been fulfilled, so the next decline can begin at any time, which appears to have already begun. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 3915, initially targets 3925 – 3932 zone.

2.) Price sustains an offer below 3915, initially targets 3905 – 3897 zone.

*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Statistic covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

PVA High Edge = 3942       PVA Low Edge = 3914         Prior POC = 3932

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2021 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3936; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3889; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3916; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3948; 10 Day Average True Range  49; VIX: 20

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently trading within prior value zone and has relinquished approximately half of prior session’s gains during overnight trade. Prior range was 368.50 handles on 467k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

PVA High Edge = 13157       PVA Low Edge = 12975      Prior POC = 13140

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 13056, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13105 – 13140 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 13056, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13015 – 13000 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2021 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 13321; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12786; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12916; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13020; 10 Day Average True Range: 319; VIX: 20

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply