Trade Strategy 3.29.22

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

10:00 Consumer Confidence
10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
1:00 PM Results of $47B, 7-Year Note Auction
1:00 PM Money Supply

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Morning decline lead to an Afternoon reversal, sending price to close near high of day. Range was 63 handles on 1.141M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price is extending this cycle’s rally fulfilling upper CD3 Penetration Level (4584) during overnight trade activity. 3-Day Cycle Target measures 4606 and Positive Cycle is in-place. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains bid above 4575, initially targets 4590 – 4598 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains offer below 4575, initially targets 4560 – 4555 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4544       PVA Low Edge = 4514        Prior POC = 4533

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2022 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4649; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4508; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4522; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4606; 10 Day Average True Range  84; VIX: 19

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently trading above PH (14997) extending this cycle rally, fulfilling 3 Day Cycle Objectives. Prior range was 338 handles on 528k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 15000, THEN initial upside estimate targets 15092 – 15127 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 15000, THEN initial downside estimate targets 14955 – 14940 zone.

PVA High Edge = 14880       PVA Low Edge = 14732     Prior POC = 14841

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2022 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15337; LOD ATR Range Projection: 14702; 3 Day Central Pivot: 14752; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15092; 10 Day Average True Range: 380; VIX: 19

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply