Trade Strategy 3.9.23

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price range was contained within the Target Master Zones, and developed as a Neutral Range Balancing Day, with neither side (bulls/bears) gaining control. Prior day’s range was 31 handles on 1.749M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline for CD1 measures 3943.50. Bulls and Bears will still need to “duke-it-out” for control dominance. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 3990, initially targets 4010 – 4015 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 3990, initially targets 3970 – 3965 zone.

PVA High Edge = 3998       PVA Low Edge = 3984         Prior POC = 3990

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2023 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4042; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3940; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4020; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4058; 10 Day Average True Range  58; VIX: 19

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price range was contained within the Target Master Zones, and developed as a Neutral Range Balancing Day, with neither side (bulls/bears) gaining control. Prior day’s range was 31 handles on 1.749M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline for CD1 measures 12012. Bulls and Bears will still need to “duke-it-out” for control dominance. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 12200, initially targets 12290 – 12295 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 12200, initially targets 12115 – 12110 zone.

PVA High Edge = 12208       PVA Low Edge = 12152     Prior POC = 12177

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2022 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 12408; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12010; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12265; 3 Day Cycle Target: 12545; 10 Day Average True Range: 236; VIX: 19

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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