Trade Strategy 6.6.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

No events scheduled

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price extended this cycle’s rally fulfilling 4299 objective before pulling back and consolidating the remainder of the session, producing a CD2 normal. Prior range was 32 handles on 1.594M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Cycle targets have been fulfilled…As such we’ll mark today as a “wild-card” for direction, though bulls remain in-control. Line-in-Sand is 4272 for over/under.  As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4272, initially targets 4290 – 4295 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4272, initially targets 4255 – 4250 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4298       PVA Low Edge = 4280         Prior POC = 4281

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2023 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4327; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4231; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4258; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4299; 10 Day Average True Range  53; VIX: 15

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price extended this cycle’s rally  before pulling back and consolidating the remainder of the session, producing a CD2 normal. Prior range was 182 handles on 607k contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Cycle targets are still open for this contract (14746). Positive 3-day cycle statistic is firmly in-place. As such we’ll mark today as a “wild-card” for direction, though bulls remain in-control. Line-in-Sand is 14555 for over/under.  As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 14555, THEN initial upside estimate targets 14600– 14620 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 14555, THEN initial downside estimate targets 14525 – 14515 zone.

PVA High Edge = 14645       PVA Low Edge = 14548    Prior POC = 14590

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2023 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 14813; LOD ATR Range Projection: 14358; 3 Day Central Pivot: 14527; 3 Day Cycle Target: 14746; 10 Day Average True Range: 256; VIX: 15

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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