Trading Room RECAP 5.13.26

Cycle Day 2 delivered exactly what the playbook anticipated: continuation and expansion.

Key Themes of the Session

  • Overnight upside targets in @ES and @NQ were fulfilled early.
  • Initial reversal developed from the D-Level before buyers regained control.
  • Early expectation called for MATD Rhythms, which played out cleanly throughout the session.
  • Hot PPI inflation data briefly pressured sentiment:
    • Core PPI MoM: 1.0% vs 0.3% est
    • PPI MoM: 1.4% vs 0.5% est
  • Despite inflation concerns, the market continued displaying persistent upward acceptance.

Important Structural Levels

  • 7410 LIS (“Line in the Sand”)
    • Successful back test early in the session.
    • Established the foundation for continuation higher.
  • 7420 LIS Zone
    • Midday back test held firmly.
    • Triggered continuation rally back toward prior highs.

Intraday Narrative

  • Early bias leaned:
    • Sell-side on bounces
    • Premium sell setups
    • ONL retest focus
  • As price rotated back toward mid-VWAP, expectations shifted toward:
    • More balanced two-way trade
    • Responsive rotations
  • Buyers ultimately maintained control as:
    • “The Perpetual Rally”
    • “Range Runner and Beyond”
    • “Money Box In-Play”
      all evolved into a late-session acceleration phase.

Late Day Expansion

The session transitioned into what was described as a:

“Parabolic Blow-off Phase”

Key upside projection:

  • Cycle Day 2 Penetration Target: 7482.71

Price continued pressing higher into the close with:

  • ES closing near session highs
  • Persistent trend continuation
  • Strong momentum acceptance into settlement

Closing Action

  • Initial MOC Sell Imbalance:
    • -$4.0 Billion
  • First notable sell imbalance seen in some time.
  • Later paired off, reducing late-session downside pressure.

Overall Read

Another textbook example of:

  • Strong Cycle Day continuation
  • Buyers defending pullbacks
  • Trend persistence overwhelming macro concerns
  • Market refusing meaningful downside acceptance

The “Train Kept a Rolling.”

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