Cycle Day 2 delivered exactly what the playbook anticipated: continuation and expansion.
Key Themes of the Session
- Overnight upside targets in @ES and @NQ were fulfilled early.
- Initial reversal developed from the D-Level before buyers regained control.
- Early expectation called for MATD Rhythms, which played out cleanly throughout the session.
- Hot PPI inflation data briefly pressured sentiment:
- Core PPI MoM: 1.0% vs 0.3% est
- PPI MoM: 1.4% vs 0.5% est
- Despite inflation concerns, the market continued displaying persistent upward acceptance.
Important Structural Levels
- 7410 LIS (“Line in the Sand”)
- Successful back test early in the session.
- Established the foundation for continuation higher.
- 7420 LIS Zone
- Midday back test held firmly.
- Triggered continuation rally back toward prior highs.
Intraday Narrative
- Early bias leaned:
- Sell-side on bounces
- Premium sell setups
- ONL retest focus
- As price rotated back toward mid-VWAP, expectations shifted toward:
- More balanced two-way trade
- Responsive rotations
- Buyers ultimately maintained control as:
- “The Perpetual Rally”
- “Range Runner and Beyond”
- “Money Box In-Play”
all evolved into a late-session acceleration phase.
Late Day Expansion
The session transitioned into what was described as a:
“Parabolic Blow-off Phase”
Key upside projection:
- Cycle Day 2 Penetration Target: 7482.71
Price continued pressing higher into the close with:
- ES closing near session highs
- Persistent trend continuation
- Strong momentum acceptance into settlement
Closing Action
- Initial MOC Sell Imbalance:
- -$4.0 Billion
- First notable sell imbalance seen in some time.
- Later paired off, reducing late-session downside pressure.
Overall Read
Another textbook example of:
- Strong Cycle Day continuation
- Buyers defending pullbacks
- Trend persistence overwhelming macro concerns
- Market refusing meaningful downside acceptance
The “Train Kept a Rolling.”